← Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.8%
avg ELO -11.7 per match
expected value
35.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1097
· median 1097
· range 1097–1097
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1163
Q3 1319
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 33.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.9% | -10.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
