Water SilvieTier 2
at AMB Store Championship
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.8%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1468
· median 1468
· range 1468–1468
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1206
Q3 1410
1571
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
