Water Tera SilvieTier 2
at AMB Store Championship
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.7%
avg ELO -12.4 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1100
· median 1100
· range 1100–1100
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1206
Q3 1410
1571
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.6 |
| Water Silvie | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
