← Tabletop Village Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Tabletop Village Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 92.9% | 59.9% | 62.4% | 54.7% | 1327 | — |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 69.5% | 54.3% | 57.1% | 1352 | — |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 53.1% | 54.3% | 50.9% | 1436 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 47.2% | 52.9% | 48.3% | 1548 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 10.5% | 12 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 52.4% | 53.8% | 1329 | — |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 10.5% | 9 | 61.1% | 56.2% | 52.2% | 51.4% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.9% | 52.0% | 50.7% | 1331 | — |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.3% | 52.0% | 51.6% | 1367 | — |
| 9 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.3% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.2% | 48.6% | 50.1% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.8% | 46.7% | 47.8% | 1323 | — |
| 12 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.6% | 45.3% | 46.7% | 1357 | — |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 45.5% | 45.2% | 46.7% | 1254 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 10.0% | 31.4% | 41.7% | 43.0% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 10.0% | 34.0% | 41.4% | 44.0% | 1298 | — |
| 16 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 5.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.4% | 40.0% | 42.4% | 1203 | ↓ low |