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Wind AlliesTier 2
at ArtofCards AMB Store Championship
decks
3
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
6-6-5
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1241
· median 1224
· range 1087–1412
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1184
Q3 1407
1685
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.6% | -3.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 22.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 67.4% | +13.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.8% | +6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 36.3% | -13.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |