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Wind RazorgaleTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 16 | 8-5-3 | 59.4% | 57.5% | 49.7% | -0.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +1.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -1.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 2.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.1% | +4.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Nullifying Mirror, Scatter Essence. Losers more often ran: Unbroken Mustang, Zephyr.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dematerialize | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |