Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.1%
avg ELO -6.4 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1182
· median 1182
· range 1182–1182
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1197
Q3 1369
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
