SlimesTier 1
at QLD Regionals
decks
5
(15.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32
17-13-2
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.4%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1338
· range 1156–1464
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1208
Q3 1369
1563
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 7 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 46.6% | -1.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.3% | +15.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
