Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Apex AMB Store Champ
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 19.2% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 34.1% | -10.1 |
| Slimes | 11.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +21.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Arisanna | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thunderclap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Set Ablaze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disintegrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |