← GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
47.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1230
· median 1230
· range 1230–1230
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1231
Q3 1462
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Slimes | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
