← GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.4% | +1.4 |
| Slimes | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.1% | +24.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thunderclap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Indolent Leisure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ignite the Soul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |