← CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 4 | 16.7% | 18 | 77.8% | 56.6% | 59.8% | 52.4% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 4.2% | 2 | 50.0% | 45.4% | 55.0% | 51.1% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Razorgale | 3 | 12.5% | 13 | 65.4% | 65.0% | 54.1% | 55.5% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.7% | 53.3% | 53.0% | 1224 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 48.3% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 47.5% | 1338 | — |
| 7 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 41.3% | 47.5% | 49.9% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 12.5% | 12 | 41.7% | 46.0% | 47.2% | 49.3% | 1248 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Penguin Mill | 3 | 12.5% | 13 | 42.3% | 49.7% | 45.6% | 48.2% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.2% | 2 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 45.0% | 44.8% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.0% | 44.0% | 46.9% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.2% | 43.3% | 43.0% | 1356 | — |
| 13 | Slimes | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 30.0% | 45.3% | 40.4% | 44.9% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Exia | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 37.8% | 40.0% | 45.5% | 1173 | ↓ low |