Mortal Ambition Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	11.5%	6-7-1	46.4%	40.8%	48.8%	47.3%	1272	—
2		Slimes	Tier 2	3	11.5%	8-7-0	53.3%	59.0%	49.9%	53.4%	1211	↓ low
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	11.5%	9-0-2	90.9%	61.2%	59.2%	53.0%	1459	↑ top
4		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	11.5%	5-8-0	38.5%	44.5%	46.2%	47.5%	1232	—
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	7.7%	6-5-0	54.5%	52.3%	49.2%	49.1%	1268	—
6		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	7.7%	2-7-0	22.2%	34.2%	45.0%	46.1%	1281	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	7.7%	5-4-1	55.0%	61.6%	51.1%	54.3%	1265	—
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.4%	42.5%	44.9%	1074	↓ low
9		Fire Silvie	Tier 2	1	3.8%	1-4-0	20.0%	46.3%	44.7%	50.6%	1167	↓ low
10		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.0%	51.0%	51.5%	1229	—
11		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	44.4%	50.0%	48.2%	1427	↑ top
12		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-2-0	60.0%	56.5%	51.7%	51.5%	1404	↑ top
13		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.8%	4-0-1	90.0%	58.1%	57.5%	52.9%	1558	↑ top
14		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	3.8%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.4%	40.0%	45.4%	973	↓ low
15		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-1-1	70.0%	55.5%	53.7%	52.2%	1317	—
16		Wind Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	3.8%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.4%	40.0%	45.4%	973	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 11.5%
• Slimes 3 decks · 11.5%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 11.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 11.5%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 7.7%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Tera Tamer 1 deck · 3.8%