Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Mortal Ambition Regionals
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.6%
avg ELO +5.2 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1265
· range 1150–1381
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1161
Q3 1397
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.2% | +18.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.3% | +11.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Wind Cats | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
