SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition Regionals
decks
3
(11.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
49.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1211
· median 1207
· range 1108–1319
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1161
Q3 1397
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 71.2% | +15.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.1% | -3.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.6% | +3.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.7 |
| Fire Silvie | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.9 |
| Water Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
