← AMB Store Championship Greenbelt
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at AMB Store Championship Greenbelt
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.2%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1461
· median 1461
· range 1449–1472
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1234
Q3 1474
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 15.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +4.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
