← AMB Store Championship Greenbelt
Water Luxem AssassinTier 1
at AMB Store Championship Greenbelt
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.9%
avg ELO -3.8 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351
· median 1351
· range 1348–1354
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1234
Q3 1474
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 15.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -8.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
