EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 4/6 卡殿Card Palace 大圖書館聯賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 53.3% | 56.7% | 51.0% | 1196 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 52.0% | 56.4% | 51.2% | 1236 | — |
| 3 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 21.4% | 14 | 64.3% | 53.1% | 56.3% | 51.5% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 52.9% | 50.1% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1312 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1140 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.1% | 47.5% | 49.2% | 1285 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 44.0% | 48.6% | 1203 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 3 | 21.4% | 10 | 30.0% | 47.5% | 42.5% | 48.6% | 1213 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 44.9% | 40.0% | 47.9% | 1176 | ↓ low |