← Yeti Webcam Weekly 3/28/2024
Fire Neos TonorisTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 3/28/2024
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1252
Q3 1414
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
