Yeti Webcam Weekly 3/28/2024

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	6	15.8%	6-8-1	43.3%	49.2%	49.9%	49.8%	1284	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	4	10.5%	6-5-1	54.2%	50.4%	48.7%	49.9%	1321	—
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	10.5%	8-5-2	60.0%	50.3%	54.9%	50.3%	1415	↑ top
4		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	3	7.9%	5-3-1	61.1%	50.2%	50.6%	49.9%	1320	—
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	7.9%	5-6-1	45.8%	49.9%	46.0%	49.9%	1527	↑ top
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	7.9%	4-2-3	61.1%	51.3%	52.6%	50.5%	1310	—
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	7.9%	5-3-2	60.0%	50.9%	51.9%	50.3%	1330	—
8		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	2	5.3%	0-2-2	25.0%	48.9%	44.4%	49.5%	1305	—
9		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	5.3%	4-3-1	56.2%	50.0%	47.6%	49.7%	1463	↑ top
10		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	47.9%	40.0%	49.1%	1353	—
11		Fire Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-0-0	100.0%	51.6%	60.0%	50.6%	1426	↑ top
12		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.4%	40.0%	49.2%	1190	↓ low
13		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.1%	54.7%	50.5%	1388	—
14		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.4%	56.9%	50.8%	1367	—
15		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-0	0.0%	49.1%	40.0%	49.4%	1281	↓ low
16		Wind Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.5%	41.8%	49.5%	1138	↓ low
17		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.6%	40.0%	49.1%	1152	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Umbra Ranger 6 decks · 15.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 10.5%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 5.3%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Tera Tamer 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.6%