← Yeti Webcam Weekly 3/28/2024
Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 3/28/2024
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Water Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Increasing Danger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Automaton Bomber | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Duelist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Airship Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Shot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Demon's Aim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire, Black Market | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Cursebreaker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Anathema's End | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Relentless Hexchaser | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reposition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mindbreak Bullet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Force Load | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |