Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at CakeTCG Online Weekly #2
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1121–1293
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1172
Q3 1289
1543
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Exia | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
