Wind ExiaTier 2
at CakeTCG Online Weekly #2
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1160
· median 1160
· range 1135–1186
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1172
Q3 1289
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Tonoris | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
