← Texas HVN Regional - Reaper Game Store
Water Crux MageTier 3
at Texas HVN Regional - Reaper Game Store
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.2%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1188
· median 1188
· range 1188–1188
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1179
Q3 1347
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Water Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
