← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025
decks
2
(4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1508
· median 1508
· range 1508–1509
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1200
Q3 1404
1617
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
