← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025

decks
4 (8.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5% avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
52.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1293 · median 1281 · range 1198–1410 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1200 Q3 1404 1617
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 10.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Aggro 8.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Wind Seiryuu 8.2% 0
Fire Seiryuu 6.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% -0.0
Wind Allies 6.1% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 4.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.7
Fire Suzaku 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.2
Water Ravishing Mill 4.1% 0
Water Tera Cleric 4.1% 0
Fire Arcane 2.0% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.0% 0
Slimes 2.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 48.7% -1.3
Water Allies 2.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.5
Water Genbu 2.0% 0
Water Luxem Zander 2.0% 0
Water Overlord 2.0% 0
Water Umbra Diana 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.1
Wind Astra Cleric 2.0% 0
Wind Byakko 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Wind Exia 2.0% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.0% 0
Wind Neos 2.0% 0
Wind Silvie 2.0% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Sharpen Blade +1.00 1 0 0
Diablerie +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Sable Remnant -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Slice and Dice -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu -1.00 0 1 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/21760/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike