← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/20/2025
decks
3
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-5-0
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1279
· median 1291
· range 1106–1439
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1200
Q3 1404
1617
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Wind Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
