EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Storechamp.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 1 | 100.0% | 56.5% | 60.0% | 56.5% | 1342 | — |
| 2 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.1% | 55.8% | 53.8% | 1519 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 9.4% | 16 | 65.6% | 58.0% | 54.9% | 52.6% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 3 | 9.4% | 17 | 64.7% | 46.1% | 54.1% | 48.8% | 1527 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Byakko | 2 | 6.2% | 9 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 51.4% | 50.8% | 1342 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 6.2% | 9 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 51.4% | 50.8% | 1342 | — |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 6 | 18.8% | 31 | 51.6% | 59.2% | 51.1% | 55.3% | 1298 | — |
| 8 | Wind Diana | 1 | 3.1% | 8 | 56.2% | 62.2% | 50.6% | 53.9% | 1392 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.5% | 48.7% | 51.8% | 1328 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 59.1% | 48.3% | 55.1% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 45.8% | 48.2% | 42.3% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 8 | 25.0% | 38 | 48.7% | 47.2% | 47.7% | 47.0% | 1359 | — |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 6.2% | 12 | 37.5% | 32.1% | 46.8% | 44.1% | 1364 | — |
| 14 | Wind Exia | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 51.2% | 46.4% | 51.1% | 1298 | — |
| 15 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 16.7% | 38.4% | 44.4% | 47.3% | 1380 | — |
| 16 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 41.1% | 43.3% | 44.0% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 3.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.4% | 42.2% | 43.3% | 1333 | — |
| 18 | Wind Kongming | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 29.2% | 40.0% | 42.5% | 1124 | ↓ low |