← TripleTactics TCG Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 14 | 43.8% | 30 | 65.0% | 54.0% | 58.8% | 53.0% | 1311 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.9% | 55.3% | 56.2% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 56.9% | 53.0% | 52.5% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.3% | 52.6% | 55.7% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 4 | 12.5% | 12 | 58.3% | 57.6% | 49.6% | 52.9% | 1312 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 59.3% | 49.3% | 50.6% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.9% | 40.0% | 41.1% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 46.7% | 40.0% | 46.7% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.2% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Diao Chan | 1 | 3.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | 1148 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 34.9% | 1455 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 15.6% | 16 | 25.0% | 41.4% | 35.3% | 43.5% | 1242 | ↓ low |