← RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 90.0% | 67.6% | 59.4% | 56.8% | 1528 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 80.0% | 50.7% | 57.8% | 52.1% | 1561 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 62.5% | 52.4% | 55.0% | 53.1% | 1476 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 15.0% | 12 | 58.3% | 54.6% | 50.7% | 50.3% | 1348 | — |
| 5 | Water Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 55.0% | 60.1% | 50.6% | 52.9% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.7% | 50.0% | 48.4% | 1459 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 41.6% | 49.3% | 46.8% | 1343 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 45.0% | 50.5% | 48.9% | 50.7% | 1365 | — |
| 9 | Wind Neos | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 44.7% | 48.9% | 50.5% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 46.5% | 46.7% | 46.5% | 1344 | — |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.2% | 45.7% | 50.8% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 43.0% | 44.4% | 45.7% | 1165 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.9% | 44.0% | 47.4% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 31.3% | 40.0% | 43.0% | 1110 | ↓ low |