Wind AlliesTier 1
at HVN Store Championship
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1203–1526
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1155
Q1 1210
Q3 1425
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.4 |
| Water Kongming | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
