← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship

Water GenbuTier 1

at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship

decks
2 (7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0% avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
54.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309 · median 1309 · range 1295–1323 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1077 Q1 1191 Q3 1355 1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 18.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.4% +7.0
Fire Aggro 11.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.7% +1.7
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.9
Wind Lorraine 7.4% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.7% 0
Fire Exia 3.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.7% 0
Fire Slimes 3.7% 0
Fire Tera Cleric 3.7% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 53.8% +3.7
Water Tera Mage 3.7% 0
Wind Astra Arisanna 3.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.7% -18.1
Wind Luxem Zander 3.7% 0
Wind Neos 3.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.9% +6.3
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.7% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22211/archetypes/Water Genbu