← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 1
at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
54.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309
· median 1309
· range 1295–1323
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1191
Q3 1355
1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.4% | +7.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Lorraine | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
