← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.5%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1187
· median 1187
· range 1187–1187
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1191
Q3 1355
1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
