← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship

Wind Astra ArisannaTier 2

at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship

decks
1 (3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 0-1-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.8% avg ELO -9.8 per match
expected value
46.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1341 · median 1341 · range 1341–1341 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1077 Q1 1191 Q3 1355 1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 18.5% 0
Fire Aggro 11.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 0
Water Genbu 7.4% 0
Wind Lorraine 7.4% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.7% 0
Fire Exia 3.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.7% -19.7
Fire Slimes 3.7% 0
Fire Tera Cleric 3.7% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.7% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 44.5% -8.8
Wind Neos 3.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -1.0
Wind Seiryuu 3.7% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.7% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Astra Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22211/archetypes/Wind Astra Arisanna