← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
Wind LorraineTier 1
at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-3-1
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1362
· median 1362
· range 1357–1367
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1191
Q3 1355
1471
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.8% | -18.4 |
| Water Genbu | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Wind Neos | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
