← Luna Cards Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Luna Cards Store Championships .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 80.0% | 68.8% | 57.3% | 58.6% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 75.0% | 59.2% | 55.2% | 54.3% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 60.0% | 57.7% | 52.9% | 53.4% | 1317 | — |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 2 | 9.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 36.5% | 52.6% | 48.1% | 1313 | — |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 56.2% | 53.2% | 51.8% | 50.9% | 1343 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 14.3% | 12 | 45.8% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 52.5% | 1265 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 55.0% | 55.5% | 50.4% | 51.6% | 1312 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 19.0% | 17 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 47.0% | 45.8% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.1% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1252 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.2% | 45.2% | 47.2% | 1278 | — |
| 11 | Wind Diana | 1 | 4.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 44.8% | 48.9% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 0.0% | 28.2% | 40.0% | 41.2% | 1081 | ↓ low |