Capybara Cards Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	10	31.2%	12-7-4	60.9%	58.1%	52.8%	52.9%	1321	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	9.4%	6-8-2	43.8%	47.5%	52.2%	52.6%	1287	—
3		Water Genbu	Tier 2	3	9.4%	3-5-3	40.9%	41.9%	45.7%	43.8%	1217	↓ low
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	9.4%	9-4-3	65.6%	55.3%	56.5%	52.8%	1361	↑ top
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	6.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	42.4%	39.6%	44.5%	1140	↓ low
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	6.2%	1-4-1	25.0%	40.3%	43.4%	46.1%	1309	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	6.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	47.5%	42.8%	46.8%	1227	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	51.3%	49.8%	46.0%	1584	↑ top
9		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	41.1%	40.0%	41.1%	1206	↓ low
10		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.0%	47.4%	49.7%	1249	—
11		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.0%	47.4%	49.7%	1249	—
12		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	48.4%	50.6%	49.9%	1253	—
13		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	55.4%	54.2%	52.6%	1519	↑ top
14		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-1	12.5%	34.7%	40.6%	42.5%	1164	↓ low
15		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	61.9%	57.3%	54.4%	1117	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 10 decks · 31.2%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 9.4%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.1%