Wind KongmingTier 3
at Fayble Regional
decks
3
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
2-10-1
overall winrate
19.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.1%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1146
· range 1080–1376
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1203
Q3 1395
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 23.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rai | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Kongming decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
