← AGORA HOBBY HVN Store Championship

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at AGORA HOBBY HVN Store Championship

decks
8 (18.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34 13-18-3
overall winrate
42.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.0% avg ELO -2.9 per match
expected value
41.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1293 · median 1228 · range 1091–1633 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091 Q1 1196 Q3 1391 1633
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 25.6% 7 1-5-1 21.4% 31.8% 37.4% -6.3
Water Genbu 9.3% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 29.0% -13.5
Fire Byakko 4.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.2
Fire Crux Mage 4.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 4.7% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 40.5% -6.1
Fire Aggro 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.1% -19.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.3% 0
Fire Exia 2.3% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.3% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 46.6% -2.5
Fire Slimes 2.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.7% -10.8
Water Crux Lorraine 2.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 67.4% +16.7
Water Overlord 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.5
Water Ravishing Mill 2.3% 0
Water Tera Mage 2.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.7% +10.3
Wind Allies 2.3% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 56.9% +6.7
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.5% +7.2
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.2% -14.0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.5
Wind Razorgale 2.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 56.1% +9.7
Wind Shadowstrike 2.3% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Ravaging Tempest, Lunar Seer, Nullifying Mirror. Losers more often ran: Zephyr, Mnemonic Charm, Nascent Barrier.

Played more by winners
Ravaging Tempest
Winning decks ran 2.8 copies on average, losing decks 2.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Lunar Seer
Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Nullifying Mirror
Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Played more by losers
Zephyr
Losing decks ran 2.6 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Mnemonic Charm
Losing decks ran 3.8 copies on average, winning decks 3.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Nascent Barrier
Losing decks ran 2.8 copies on average, winning decks 2.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Potion of Healing
Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest +0.60 3 0 2
Zephyr -0.60 0 3 2
Astral Seal +0.40 2 0 3
Nullifying Lantern -0.40 0 2 3
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.40 0 2 3
Indolent Leisure +0.40 2 0 3
Lunar Seer +0.40 3 1 1
Fragmented Spirit of Wind +0.40 2 0 0
Mnemonic Charm -0.20 1 2 2
Gentle Respite +0.20 1 0 1
Meteor Strike -0.20 0 1 4
Nascent Barrier -0.20 1 2 2
Potion of Healing -0.20 1 2 0
Horticounter +0.20 1 0 4
Nullifying Mirror +0.20 2 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.20 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -0.20 0 1 0
Dawn's Reversal -0.20 0 1 0
Prima Materia -0.20 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 2 2 1
Regenerate +0.00 2 2 1

JSON: /api/events/23212/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric