← Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-4-2
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.4%
avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
45.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1209
· median 1209
· range 1134–1284
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1205
Q3 1438
1552
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 18.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Wind Allies | 15.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
