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Water Ravishing MillTier 2

at Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals

decks
1 (3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.6% avg ELO -6.1 per match
expected value
47.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1547 · median 1547 · range 1547–1547 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
972 Q1 1205 Q3 1438 1552
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 18.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.2% -22.1
Wind Allies 15.2% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 33.5% -12.3
Fire Aggro 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.4% +10.2
Water Genbu 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.3
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.1% 0
Water Fractal 6.1% 0
Fire Arcane 3.0% 0
Fire Exia 3.0% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.0% 0
Wind Byakko 3.0% 0
Wind Tonoris 3.0% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/23852/archetypes/Water Ravishing Mill