Fire AggroTier 1
at 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽
decks
4
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
13-10-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1411
· median 1443
· range 1271–1486
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1232
Q3 1443
1543
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 16.7% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 53.9% | +2.2 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.7% | +6.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.8% | -4.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.0 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.4% | +5.2 |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 43.2% | -5.1 |
| Water Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
