Water GenbuTier 2
at 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.3%
avg ELO +7.6 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1074
· median 1074
· range 1074–1074
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1232
Q3 1443
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 56.8% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
