Wind AlliesTier 2
at 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽
decks
6
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
13-17-1
overall winrate
43.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.4%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1242
· median 1236
· range 988–1536
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1232
Q3 1443
1543
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 16.7% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 38.1% | -7.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.4% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.9% | +3.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 39.3% | -6.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.3% | -6.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 55.0% | +3.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.4% | -13.1 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
