Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at 5/24 Fayble Online Regional
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1498
· median 1498
· range 1498–1498
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1227
Q3 1471
1730
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Allies | 10.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
