5/24 Fayble Online Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	7	18.9%	18-9-2	65.5%	56.3%	57.7%	53.6%	1406	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	6	16.2%	15-10-1	59.6%	54.2%	50.7%	50.7%	1399	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	10.8%	5-7-2	42.9%	50.4%	46.2%	49.3%	1340	—
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	4	10.8%	8-7-5	52.5%	44.9%	47.4%	46.1%	1424	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	5.4%	5-4-0	55.6%	51.0%	44.6%	48.1%	1363	—
6		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.7%	1-2-2	40.0%	52.2%	43.8%	49.7%	1187	↓ low
7		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.2%	48.3%	48.9%	1231	↓ low
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	46.6%	51.6%	49.1%	1498	↑ top
9		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.7%	0-3-1	12.5%	40.6%	42.2%	46.5%	1162	↓ low
10		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-3-1	41.7%	51.4%	45.5%	49.7%	1156	↓ low
11		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.7%	1-2-0	33.3%	51.1%	49.3%	51.5%	1226	↓ low
12		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.7%	0-2-1	16.7%	44.0%	40.7%	46.6%	1125	↓ low
13		Water Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	41.6%	47.4%	47.1%	1543	↑ top
14		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	45.0%	40.0%	47.1%	1053	↓ low
15		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.7%	0-5-0	0.0%	43.5%	40.0%	47.6%	945	↓ low
16		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	2.7%	4-2-0	66.7%	53.5%	52.2%	50.9%	1441	↑ top
17		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.7%	4-2-0	66.7%	52.1%	54.1%	51.0%	1435	↑ top
18		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.9%	51.7%	50.0%	1317	—
19		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-2-1	58.3%	50.9%	47.9%	48.7%	1597	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 7 decks · 18.9%
• Fire Aggro 6 decks · 16.2%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 10.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 10.8%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.7%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.7%