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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Gamersshop Gaming Store HVN Regionals 2025
decks
6
(5.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
41
23-12-6
overall winrate
63.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.6%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1382
· median 1435
· range 1102–1642
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1150
Q3 1379
1668
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.4% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +6.4 |
| Water Fractal | 11.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.0% | -7.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.7% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -0.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.8% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 39.0% | -6.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +0.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.1% | -7.5 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Water Diana | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
