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Fire Tera MageTier 2
at Gamersshop Gaming Store HVN Regionals 2025
decks
2
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1125
· median 1125
· range 1065–1184
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1150
Q3 1379
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 74.1% | +18.0 |
| Water Fractal | 11.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
