Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Regional
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1%
avg ELO +2.4 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1170
· median 1170
· range 1170–1170
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1185
Q3 1363
1484
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 17.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 13.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Genbu | 13.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.9% | +23.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
