Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at 貓腳印-桃園店 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-2-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1208–1482
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1254
Q3 1406
1482
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 18.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 18.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.9% | +3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.8% | -24.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Vanitas | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
